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Thursday signal: markets shrug at war, Meta's own silicon, and Micron's $250B

Day two of strikes meets a chip rally, Meta dates its Iris production run, Congress braces for a defense-money fight, and an AI agent raises its own round — press a signal for coverage.

Signalpoint TeamBrief

Business

Stock markets have decided the Hormuz war is a headline, not a new era — a bet that holds only until a strike hits oil-export infrastructure.

BackgroundWar headlines usually knock stocks down and push oil up. This week's US–Iran fighting is testing that reflex: equity markets are betting the conflict stays short and contained.

Points
  1. US crude fell 2.3% to $71.85 and Brent 2.5% to $76.10 after Trump said Iran wants a deal; natural gas dropped more than 6% — prices are following the diplomacy, not the strikes.
  2. Chip stocks carried the day: the SOXX semiconductor index rose 3.5%, a memory-chip ETF 3.7%, and information technology was the best S&P sector at +1.7%.
  3. The 10-year Treasury yield eased to 4.54%, and next week opens bank earnings season — analyst consensus has S&P profits up 24% year over year, tech doing most of the work.
  4. Cross-currents in the results: PepsiCo fell 3.3% on soft North America sales and AstraZeneca lost ~6% on a failed heart-disease drug — the rally is narrow outside AI.

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